Severe Thunderstorms Across Southeastern Areas
Showers and thunderstorms are likely today into tonight across central and southeastern areas. Severe thunderstorms are possible across southeastern areas with best chances across eastern KS and western MO. Some freezing rain and snow will be possible further north across parts of the Dakotas, NE, and MN.
General Overview: SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN THREAT ACROSS THE SOUTH AND MIDWEST, WHILE SNOW AND MIXED PRECIPITATION IMPACT THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND UPPER MIDWEST. ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES EXPECTED FOR MUCH OF THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY.
EAST: A cold front will push through the region over the weekend, bringing rain and thunderstorms to much of the area. There is a risk of severe thunderstorms across parts of the Southeast, with the potential for damaging winds, large hail, and isolated tornadoes. Heavy rainfall may lead to localized flooding in some areas. As the front moves offshore, cooler and drier air will filter in behind it.
Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Well above average temperatures, with anomalies of 6-12°F above normal for much of the region.
-Days 4-6: Temperatures remain above average for most areas, but not as warm as the initial surge. Anomalies of 3-6°F above normal.
-Days 7-10: Near normal to slightly above average temperatures, with anomalies of 0-3°F above normal.
CENTRAL: A potent storm system will bring a variety of hazardous weather to the region. Severe thunderstorms are likely across parts of the Southern Plains and Midwest, with a risk of tornadoes, large hail, and damaging winds. Heavy rainfall may lead to flash flooding in some areas. To the north, a mix of rain, freezing rain, and snow is expected across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, with the potential for significant ice accumulations and heavy snow in some locations.
Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Well above average temperatures for most areas, with anomalies of 6-12°F above normal, especially in the Midwest and Great Lakes region.
-Days 4-6: Temperatures remain above average for many areas, but begin to cool in the northern parts of the region. Anomalies range from near normal in the north to 6-9°F above normal in the south.
-Days 7-10: A gradual cooling trend, with temperatures returning to near normal or slightly above for most areas.
WEST: Generally quiet weather is expected across much of the region, with high pressure dominating. However, some rain and mountain snow is possible in the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies. Critical fire weather conditions are possible in parts of the Southwest due to dry and windy conditions.
Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Near normal to slightly above average temperatures for most areas, with anomalies of 0-3°F above normal.
-Days 4-6: Warming trend begins, with temperatures climbing to 3-6°F above normal for many areas, especially in the interior West.
-Days 7-10: Continued warm conditions, with temperatures 3-9°F above normal for much of the region, particularly in the Southwest and Great Basin.
TROPICAL: No tropical cyclone activity is expected in the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific basins over the next 7 days.