Near To Slightly Above Normal Temperatures

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS AFFECTING THE GREAT LAKES, NORTHEAST, GULF COAST, AND SOUTHWEST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. A LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM OVER THE GREAT LAKES WILL BRING RAIN TO THE REGION TUESDAY BEFORE SHIFTING EASTWARD. MEANWHILE, ANOTHER SYSTEM WILL DEVELOP IN THE SOUTHWEST BY MIDWEEK, BRINGING RAIN, THUNDERSTORMS, AND EVEN SOME MIXED PRECIPITATION TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST AND SOUTHERN PLAINS.

EAST:
A low pressure system currently positioned over the Great Lakes will track eastward through midweek, bringing widespread rain to the Northeast and New England. Rain and thunderstorms will affect the Great Lakes region on Tuesday, with precipitation spreading into the Northeast by Wednesday. Some areas in New England could see moderate to locally heavy rainfall amounts. By Thursday, the system will move offshore, with improving conditions expected. Along the Southeast coast, scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible midweek, particularly across Florida and the coastal Carolinas. High pressure will build in by late week, bringing drier conditions to much of the region. A large system across the Midwest may allow for increasing activity chances to return towards mid-week next week. 

Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Above normal temperatures across the Northeast, particularly northern New York and New England where temperatures could be 6-8 degrees above normal. Near normal elsewhere across the region.

-Days 4-6: Cooling trend with temperatures falling to near or slightly below normal for most of the East, with below normal readings spreading into the Ohio Valley and parts of the Southeast.

-Days 7-10: Generally near normal temperatures returning to most of the East, with slightly above normal readings developing in parts of the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast by day 10.

CENTRAL:
The central United States will experience a changing weather pattern over the next several days. Early in the period, a low pressure system over the Great Lakes will bring rain to portions of the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes. By midweek, attention shifts to the Southern Plains where a developing low pressure system will bring increasing chances for rain and thunderstorms across Texas, Oklahoma, and eventually parts of the Central Plains. Some thunderstorms could become strong, particularly across Texas. By late week, this system will expand northeastward, bringing precipitation to portions of the Midwest. High pressure will briefly build in behind these systems before another weather system approaches from the west by the weekend. Increasing activity may continue into next week.

Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Near normal temperatures for most areas, with slightly above normal readings across Texas and the Southern Plains.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend across the Central and Northern Plains with temperatures 3-6 degrees above normal. Texas will continue to see above normal temperatures.

-Days 7-10: Continued above normal temperatures across much of the Central region, particularly the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest where readings could be 6-10 degrees above normal. Near normal temperatures return to the Southern Plains by day 10.

WEST:
An active weather pattern will develop across the Southwest by midweek. A low pressure system will bring rain and thunderstorms to portions of Arizona, New Mexico, and eventually Colorado and Utah. Some higher elevation areas could see mixed precipitation or snow. The Pacific Northwest will see periods of rain, particularly along the coast. By late week, the Southwest system will intensify, bringing more widespread precipitation to the Four Corners region and eventually into the Southern Plains. The West Coast will experience generally dry conditions under high pressure, though some rain will affect the Pacific Northwest at times.

Temperature Anomalies:
-Days 1-3: Near to slightly below normal temperatures across the Northwest and Northern Rockies. Slightly above normal readings in the Southwest.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend across the Northwest and Northern Rockies with temperatures 3-6 degrees above normal, particularly in Montana and Idaho. Near normal elsewhere.

-Days 7-10: Continued above normal temperatures across the Northwest and Northern Rockies. Below normal temperatures developing in parts of the Great Basin and Central Rockies.

TROPICAL:
The tropical Atlantic shows signs of activity with a post-tropical cyclone or remnant system indicated in the Caribbean. Additionally, there is a disturbance in the eastern Pacific with greater than 60% chance of cyclone formation in the next seven days. This system is currently located off the coast of Central America and bears watching for potential development. No immediate threats to the U.S. mainland are indicated at this time, but interests in the Caribbean and Central America should monitor the progress of the system progressing towards the Caribbean.