Frontal Showers

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN CONTINUES ACROSS THE NATION WITH MULTIPLE SYSTEMS BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO VARIOUS REGIONS. WESTERN STATES WILL SEE RAIN, SNOW, AND MIXED PRECIPITATION THROUGH MIDWEEK, WHILE A DEVELOPING SYSTEM IN THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION WILL BRING THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN BY FRIDAY INTO THE WEEKEND. ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES WILL DOMINATE THE CENTRAL PLAINS AND NORTHERN TIER STATES.

EAST:
The eastern United States will experience relatively quiet weather initially, with a high pressure system providing dry conditions through midweek. By late week, precipitation will begin to spread into portions of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic as moisture increases ahead of a developing frontal system. Rain will expand across much of the region by Saturday, with some areas potentially receiving moderate rainfall amounts. The cold front will push through the region by the weekend, bringing cooler air behind it. No significant winter weather threats are expected for most of the Northeast during this period.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Slightly below normal temperatures across the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with readings 2-6°F below average. Near normal temperatures for the Southeast.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend begins with temperatures climbing to near or slightly above normal for most areas. The Southeast will see temperatures 2-5°F above normal.

-Days 7-10: Continued mild conditions with temperatures generally 1-4°F above normal across most of the region, though some cooling may occur in the Northeast by day 10.

CENTRAL:
The Central United States will see an active weather pattern developing through the period. Initially quiet conditions will give way to increasing precipitation chances by midweek. A low pressure system will organize over the Southern Plains by Friday, bringing widespread rainfall to the South Central states. This system will strengthen as it moves eastward, with a warm front lifting northward bringing thunderstorms to portions of Texas, Oklahoma, and surrounding states. Some of these storms could become strong to severe. By Saturday, the system will bring widespread rain across much of the Central and Southern Plains, with a cold front trailing southward. Behind the system, cooler air will filter in from the north.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Significantly above normal temperatures across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, with readings 8-12°F above average. The Southern Plains will be 3-6°F above normal.

-Days 4-6: Continued warm conditions with temperatures 6-10°F above normal across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. The South Central region will see temperatures 4-8°F above normal, particularly in Texas and Oklahoma.

-Days 7-10: Persistent warmth with temperatures remaining 6-10°F above normal across the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest. The South Central states will see temperatures gradually moderate but still remain 3-6°F above normal.

WEST:
The Western United States will experience an active pattern with multiple systems bringing precipitation. Low pressure systems along the West Coast will bring rain to coastal areas and snow to higher elevations of the Cascades, Sierra Nevada, and Rocky Mountains. Mixed precipitation will be common across the Intermountain West. By midweek, precipitation will focus more on the Northwest and Northern Rockies. Another system will affect the region by the weekend, bringing additional rain and mountain snow to the Pacific Northwest and portions of California. The Southwest will see more scattered precipitation, with some thunderstorm activity possible in parts of Arizona and New Mexico.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Generally near to slightly above normal temperatures for most of the region, with readings 1-4°F above average. The Pacific Northwest will see temperatures closer to normal.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend continues with temperatures 2-6°F above normal for much of the region, particularly across the interior West and Rockies.

-Days 7-10: Temperatures remain above normal for most areas, with readings 3-6°F above average across the Rockies and Great Basin. The Pacific Northwest may see some cooling with temperatures returning closer to normal.

TROPICAL:
No tropical cyclone activity is expected during the next 7 days in either the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific basins.