Well Above Normal Today

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BRINGS HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING POTENTIAL TO PARTS OF THE SOUTH CENTRAL REGION THROUGH THURSDAY, WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE NORTHERN PLAINS AND ROCKIES. THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED ACROSS TEXAS AND THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN SIGNIFICANTLY ABOVE NORMAL ACROSS THE SOUTH CENTRAL STATES.

EAST:
A low pressure system off the Atlantic coast will bring rain to portions of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic on Wednesday. As this system moves offshore, high pressure builds in across the region by Thursday. Light rain will spread across parts of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic through midweek, with generally dry conditions returning by the weekend. The Southeast will experience scattered showers as a cold front pushes through the region late week. By Friday into the weekend, a new frontal boundary will approach from the west, bringing rain chances to the Ohio Valley and parts of the Appalachians.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Slightly below normal temperatures across the Northeast and parts of the Mid-Atlantic with readings 2-4°F below average. Near normal temperatures for most of the Southeast.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend begins with temperatures climbing to 3-6°F above normal across much of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, particularly in the Carolinas and Tennessee Valley.

-Days 7-10: Continued above normal temperatures for the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, with anomalies of 3-5°F above average. Near normal temperatures return to the Northeast by the end of the period.

CENTRAL:
The most significant weather will occur across the Central region, where a developing low pressure system will bring heavy rain and thunderstorms to the South Central states. Flash flooding potential exists across eastern Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas through Thursday. Rainfall amounts could be substantial in these areas. Further north, mixed precipitation is expected across portions of the Northern Plains and Upper Midwest, with some snow possible in the Dakotas and Minnesota. By Friday, the system will begin to push eastward, with precipitation gradually diminishing across the region. Thunderstorm activity will be concentrated primarily across Texas and the Lower Mississippi Valley.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Significantly above normal temperatures across the South Central region, with anomalies of 8-12°F above average in parts of Texas, Oklahoma, and Arkansas. Near normal temperatures across the Northern Plains.

-Days 4-6: Continued above normal temperatures across the South Central states, though moderating slightly to 6-10°F above average. Warming trend begins across the Central Plains.

-Days 7-10: Gradual moderation of temperatures with anomalies decreasing to 3-5°F above normal across most of the region. Some cooler air may begin to filter into the Northern Plains by the end of the period with slightly below normal temperatures possible.

WEST:
A series of weather systems will affect the Western states through the period. Mixed precipitation is expected across the Northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest, with rain at lower elevations and snow at higher elevations. The Southwest will see scattered rain showers, particularly across Arizona and New Mexico. Multiple areas of low pressure will move through the region, bringing periods of precipitation to the Pacific Northwest and Northern/Central Rockies. The Southwest will experience drier conditions by the weekend, while precipitation chances continue across the northern tier.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Generally near to slightly above normal temperatures across much of the West, with the warmest anomalies (3-6°F above normal) in the interior Southwest and Rockies. Slightly below normal temperatures along the immediate Pacific coast.

-Days 4-6: Continued mild temperatures with anomalies of 2-5°F above normal for most areas, particularly across the interior West and Rockies.

-Days 7-10: Cooling trend begins across the Northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest with temperatures falling to 3-6°F below normal. Near normal temperatures elsewhere across the West.

TROPICAL:
No tropical cyclone activity is expected during the next 7 days in either the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific basins.