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South Central Energy Highlights

Slightly Above normal for most

Most areas remain within 5 degrees above normal while the central plains trend warmer.

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BRINGS SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS AND HEAVY RAIN TO PARTS OF THE CENTRAL US THROUGH THE WEEKEND, WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES. COLD FRONT WILL SWEEP ACROSS THE NATION FROM WEST TO EAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK, BRINGING RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO MULTIPLE REGIONS.

EAST:  A relatively quiet weather pattern will prevail across the Eastern United States initially, with high pressure dominating through Friday. By Saturday, conditions will deteriorate as a strong cold front approaches from the west. Rain and thunderstorms will develop along the front as it pushes eastward through the weekend. The Mid-Atlantic and Northeast will experience generally tranquil conditions until Sunday when precipitation begins to spread across the region. By Monday, a developing low pressure system over the Great Lakes will bring rain to much of the Northeast, with the cold front sweeping through by Tuesday. No severe weather is expected in the East, though some moderate rainfall amounts are possible, particularly along the coastal regions.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Near normal to slightly below normal temperatures across most of the region, with slightly cooler conditions along the coastal areas.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend with above normal temperatures spreading across the region ahead of the approaching cold front, particularly in the Mid-Atlantic states.

-Days 7-10: Return to near normal temperatures following the frontal passage, with slightly above normal readings persisting in northern New England.

CENTRAL:  Active and potentially dangerous weather will impact the Central United States over the next several days. A developing low pressure system will bring widespread rain and thunderstorms to the Midwest and Great Lakes region on Friday. By Saturday, this system intensifies significantly with a strong cold front extending southward through the Mississippi Valley. Heavy rain and flash flooding will be possible across portions of the Midwest, particularly in Indiana and surrounding states. Of greatest concern is the potential for severe thunderstorms across Arkansas, eastern Oklahoma, and surrounding areas, where all severe hazards will be possible. The system will continue eastward on Sunday, with the severe threat diminishing but rain continuing across much of the region. By Monday and Tuesday, a new low pressure system develops over the Great Lakes, bringing another round of precipitation to the northern portions of the Central region.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Significantly above normal temperatures across the Plains and Midwest, with anomalies of 6-12 degrees above normal in parts of the Northern Plains.

-Days 4-6: Continued above normal temperatures ahead of the cold front, gradually moderating as the front passes through.

-Days 7-10: Return to near normal temperatures across most areas, with slightly above normal readings persisting in the Northern Plains.

WEST:  Mixed precipitation will affect the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies through the weekend. Rain is expected along the coast while higher elevations will see snow. Multiple high pressure systems will dominate the Southwest, bringing generally dry conditions to much of the region. By Friday evening, precipitation will be concentrated in Washington and Oregon, with mixed precipitation extending into Idaho and western Montana. A cold front will push through the Northwest on Saturday and Sunday, bringing additional precipitation to the region. The Southwest will remain largely dry under the influence of high pressure, though some isolated showers may develop in parts of Arizona and New Mexico. By early next week, another system approaches the Pacific Northwest, bringing renewed precipitation chances to the coastal areas.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Below normal temperatures along the Pacific coast and in parts of the Southwest, with near normal temperatures elsewhere.

-Days 4-6: Slight warming trend with temperatures returning to near normal for most areas, though some below normal readings persist in parts of the Great Basin.

-Days 7-10: Gradual warming with above normal temperatures developing across much of the Northern Rockies and interior Northwest.

TROPICAL: No systems are expected to have any impacts on the US in the next 7 days though some areas could see further development. 

ATLANTIC BASIN: A tropical wave over the central tropical Atlantic looks to undergo slow development over the next several days as it continues to move westward. Formation chances remain low through 48 hours at 10% and low through 7 days at 30%. 

PACIFIC BASIN: A broad area of low pressure producing disorganized thunderstorms offshore of southern Mexico and Central America could develop into a tropical depression as a result from generally favorable conditions while continuing west-northwestward. Currently, development is medium through 48 hours (50%) and medium through 7 days (50%).