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South Central Highlights

Dry Conditions Continue

Widespread dry conditions are expected throughout the day today.

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN BRINGING MIXED PRECIPITATION TO THE GREAT LAKES AND NORTHEAST, WITH RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE CENTRAL US BRINGING BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES WHILE THE WEST REMAINS WARMER THAN AVERAGE. POTENTIAL FOR FREEZING RAIN AND MIXED PRECIPITATION IN PARTS OF THE MIDWEST AND NORTHEAST THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK.

EAST:  A complex weather system will affect the Eastern United States over the next several days. Currently, rain and thunderstorms are spreading across the Southeast and Gulf Coast regions, with precipitation expected to continue through the weekend. By Sunday, a developing low pressure system will bring mixed precipitation to much of the Northeast and Mid-Atlantic, with rain along the immediate coast and a wintry mix further inland. The Great Lakes region will see a mix of rain, snow, and possibly freezing rain, particularly across Michigan, northern Ohio, and parts of Pennsylvania. As the system evolves, precipitation will intensify Sunday into Monday with potential for heavy rain along the Eastern Seaboard and mixed precipitation continuing inland. The system will gradually move offshore by Tuesday, with improving conditions expected midweek.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Generally above normal temperatures across most of the East, particularly in the Southeast where temperatures will be 3-6°F above average. The Northeast will see near normal to slightly above normal temperatures initially before cooling begins.

-Days 4-6: A significant cooling trend will develop with below normal temperatures spreading across the region. The Southeast and Mid-Atlantic will see temperatures drop to 3-8°F below normal, with the coldest anomalies in the Carolinas and Georgia.

-Days 7-10: Temperatures will moderate somewhat but remain slightly below normal for most areas, with the coastal regions returning closer to seasonal averages by day 10.

CENTRAL:  The Central United States will experience a significant pattern change over the next several days. Initially, a low pressure system will bring rain to portions of the Midwest, with mixed precipitation and snow possible across the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. By Saturday evening, a cold front will push through the region, bringing rain to the Ohio Valley and parts of the Central Plains. As colder air filters in behind the front, precipitation may change to snow across portions of the northern Plains and Upper Midwest. By Sunday into Monday, high pressure will build into the Central Plains, bringing drier but cooler conditions. Another system may affect the region by midweek, bringing additional precipitation chances to the Upper Midwest and Great Lakes.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Initially above normal temperatures across much of the region, but cooling significantly as the cold front passes. By day 3, temperatures will be 4-8°F below normal across the Plains and Midwest.

-Days 4-6: Continued below normal temperatures, especially in the Central Plains and Midwest where anomalies could reach 6-10°F below average. The coldest air will be centered over Missouri, Iowa, and Illinois.

-Days 7-10: Temperatures will moderate somewhat but remain below normal across the northern Plains. The southern Plains will see a return to above normal temperatures by days 9-10, with anomalies of 3-6°F above average.

WEST:  High pressure will dominate much of the Western United States through the period, leading to generally dry conditions across most areas. Some precipitation is possible in the Pacific Northwest, particularly in western Washington and Oregon. The Southwest will remain dry with above normal temperatures. By early next week, a weak system may bring some light precipitation to the northern Rockies and Pacific Northwest, but significant precipitation is not expected for most areas. The overall pattern favors continued dry conditions for the drought-affected regions of the Southwest.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Above normal temperatures across most of the West, with the warmest anomalies (6-10°F above average) in the Southwest, particularly Nevada and Arizona.

-Days 4-6: Continued warm conditions with temperatures 6-12°F above normal across the interior West, with the warmest readings in Wyoming, Colorado, and Utah. The Pacific Northwest will see more moderate temperature anomalies.

-Days 7-10: Persistent above normal temperatures, especially across the Rockies and Great Basin. Temperature anomalies of 6-10°F above normal will continue across much of the interior West.

TROPICAL: No tropical cyclone activity is expected during the next 7 days in either the Atlantic or Eastern Pacific basins. The National Hurricane Center indicates no disturbances are being monitored for potential development at this time.