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Above Average Temperatures Continue

Temperatures will continue to be 7-14 degrees above average for much of the region.

General Overview: ACTIVE WEATHER PATTERN ACROSS THE NATION WITH MIXED PRECIPITATION IN THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST AND NORTHERN ROCKIES, RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE GULF COAST, AND SHIFTING SYSTEMS BRINGING PRECIPITATION TO VARIOUS REGIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD. TEMPERATURE CONTRASTS WILL BE NOTABLE WITH BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES IN THE SOUTHEAST AND ABOVE NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MUCH OF THE WEST.

EAST:  A high pressure system will dominate the Eastern Seaboard initially, providing generally dry but breezy conditions today. By Sunday, rain and thunderstorm activity will develop across Florida and parts of the Southeast coast as moisture increases. Precipitation chances will shift northward along the coast through Monday. The Great Lakes region will see some rain and possibly mixed precipitation as systems move through the area. The Northeast will remain relatively dry under high pressure influence initially, but may see increasing clouds and precipitation chances by the middle of next week as frontal boundaries approach.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Below normal temperatures across much of the Southeast and Mid-Atlantic, with readings 3-6°F below average. Florida will experience the coolest conditions relative to normal.

-Days 4-6: Temperatures moderate toward normal across most of the region, with slightly below normal readings persisting in parts of the Southeast and Gulf Coast.

-Days 7-10: Near normal temperatures return to most of the East, with some slightly above normal readings developing in parts of the Northeast by day 10.

CENTRAL:  High pressure will initially bring dry conditions to much of the Central Plains, but a developing low pressure system in the Northern Plains will bring increasing precipitation chances by Sunday. A cold front will sweep through the region, with rain spreading across portions of the Midwest and Great Lakes. The South Central region will see thunderstorm activity along the Gulf Coast initially, with drier conditions spreading inland as the week progresses. By the middle of next week, a new system will develop in the Central Plains, bringing additional precipitation chances.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Below normal temperatures across the eastern portions of the Central region, particularly in the Mississippi Valley and Ohio Valley where readings will be 3-6°F below normal. Near normal to slightly above normal temperatures in the western portions.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend begins with near normal temperatures returning to most areas. Slightly below normal readings persist in parts of the Lower Mississippi Valley.

-Days 7-10: Above normal temperatures develop across much of the Central Plains and Upper Midwest, with readings 3-6°F above normal, particularly in the Northern Plains.

WEST:  An active pattern will bring significant precipitation to the Pacific Northwest and Northern Rockies, with mixed precipitation including snow at higher elevations. Multiple low pressure systems will affect the region, with the first bringing precipitation to Washington, Oregon, Idaho and western Montana. By Sunday, another system approaches the Northwest with additional precipitation. The Southwest will remain mostly dry under high pressure, though some precipitation may reach parts of Arizona and New Mexico by early next week. California will see varying conditions with some precipitation possible in northern areas.

Temperature Anomalies:

-Days 1-3: Above normal temperatures across much of the Southwest and Great Basin, with readings 3-6°F above normal. The Pacific Northwest will see near to slightly below normal temperatures where precipitation is occurring.

-Days 4-6: Warming trend intensifies with widespread above normal temperatures, particularly in the Rockies and Great Basin where readings will be 6-9°F above normal in some locations.

-Days 7-10: Continued above normal temperatures across most of the West, with the warmest anomalies (4-8°F above normal) focused in the Central and Northern Rockies.

TROPICAL: No tropical cyclone activity is currently expected in the Atlantic basin during the next 7 days. There is a small area of potential development in the eastern Pacific, located well south of Mexico, with a 10% chance of formation in the next 7 days. This disturbance poses no immediate threat to land areas.